Red or Blue: Investments and Election Cycles

As we enter another election season, we often field questions about how certain candidates will affect overall portfolio performance. We found the following data extremely interesting and hope it paints a broader picture of how politics affect market returns:

  • The S&P 500 has an average annual growth rate of 9.8% under Democratic presidents and 6% under Republican presidents since 1957
  • The S&P 500 has a median annual growth rate of 8.9% under Democratic presidents and 10.2% under Republican presidents since 1957
  • The S&P 500 has grown 1,920% since 1957, compounding at 10.5% annually, regardless of who sat in the oval office  [1]

The point is simple – don’t let emotions surrounding the election affect your investment strategy. Whether the White House is painted red or blue, the prudent course of action is to stay invested and stay diversified.


[1] Jennewine, Trevor. “Here’s the Average Stock Market Return under Democratic and Republican Presidents.” The Motley Fool, The Motley Fool, 2 Apr. 2024, www.fool.com/investing/2024/04/02/average-stock-market-return-democrat-republican-pr/.